Two Weeks: By the Numbers
Fourteen days after the first US strikes on Iranian territory, the conflict has expanded into a multi-front regional war involving direct strikes on Iran, proxy warfare across four countries, and economic disruption affecting global energy markets.
Key Metrics at Day 14
- Total strikes: 255+ across Iran, Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq, Syria — view on map
- Casualties: Iran 787+, Lebanon 52, Israel 11, Iraq 18, Gulf states 8, Yemen 6 — details
- Nuclear sites: 6 of 8 struck, IAEA monitoring blackout
- Oil prices: Brent crude $127-134/bbl (+63-72% from pre-conflict) — live prices
- Displacement: 1.65 million+ people displaced — humanitarian tracker
- Interceptors consumed: Hundreds across all systems — burn rate tracker
Strategic Assessment
Coalition Successes
The coalition has achieved its primary stated objective of degrading Iran's nuclear breakout capability. Six of eight known nuclear facilities have been struck, and Iran's air defense network has been significantly suppressed through a systematic SEAD campaign. Coalition air superiority is effectively complete.
Coalition Challenges
Three critical challenges have emerged. First, the interceptor shortage — defense systems are consuming munitions 7-70x faster than production. Second, the economic impact — oil above $130/bbl is straining allied economies and public support. Third, proxy warfare on four fronts is dispersing coalition forces and attention.
Iran's Strategy
Iran has absorbed significant damage to its conventional military and nuclear infrastructure but retains asymmetric leverage through the Hormuz disruption, proxy network activation, and the threat of further escalation. Iran's strategy appears oriented toward imposing unsustainable costs rather than achieving military victory.
For detailed projections on how this conflict might evolve, see our Long Term Scenarios Tab. For the latest developments, check the Live Tracker.