Daily Intelligence Recap — Iran War SITREP
Daily intelligence summary for the US-Israel vs Iran conflict (Operation Epic Fury, 27 February 2026–present) — now in its eighth month and in a fragile pause since early September while the Strait of Hormuz remains contested. This page provides a snapshot of the current operational status, updated daily with the latest verified figures from CENTCOM, IDF, IAEA, and OSINT sources.
Situation Overview — October 2, 2026
Key Metrics Summary
| Domain | Status | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Total casualties | 8,316+ killed across all parties | Fragile pause |
| Interceptor stocks | THAAD ~270 of 452 left (CSIS, Sep); Patriot under 830 of 2,330 | Declining |
| Iran arsenal | ~2,500 BMs + 3,500 drones (pre-war), producing 3.3 BMs/day | Replenishing |
| Nuclear | 440.9kg at 60% (pre-war IAEA estimate), no IAEA access to enrichment sites since 28 Feb | High risk |
| Hormuz | Contested since 28 Feb; US blockade reinstated 14 Jul; vessel traffic down ~94% | Critical |
| Humanitarian | 3.9M+ displaced, aid corridors restricted | Crisis |
| Diplomacy | June memorandum collapsed 8 Jul; indirect talks via Qatar; US to decide "very soon" (30 Sep) | Unresolved |
What to Watch
- THAAD depletion: Roughly 270 of 452 interceptors remained by mid-September (CSIS) against production of 96 a year. A renewed full-intensity exchange would draw that down far faster than the whole-war average suggests.
- Fordow status: The deep bunker facility (only 30% damaged) represents the greatest nuclear breakout risk. Watch for IAEA statements or intelligence assessments.
- Hormuz: The strait carries 21% of global oil transit and has been contested since 28 February. Watch the Qatar-mediated exchange over Iran's seven-day reopening proposal, ship attacks, and war-risk insurance rates.
- Iran production: At 3.3 BMs/day, Iran adds ~100 ballistic missiles per month to its arsenal despite coalition strikes on facilities.
Deep Dive Analysis
- Interceptor Burn Rate & Depletion Analysis
- Cost-Exchange Ratio Data
- Iranian Arsenal Tracker
- Full Casualty Breakdown
- Nuclear Status Monitor
For real-time data, breaking news feeds, and interactive charts, access the full intelligence dashboard (requires JavaScript).
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the latest Iran war update?
As of October 2, 2026: 8,316+ killed, THAAD at 452 remaining, Iran holds 440.9kg HEU at 60%, 3.9M+ displaced, Hormuz blockade active. Updated daily from CENTCOM, IDF, IAEA, and OSINT sources.
Where can I find live Iran war data?
The MissileStrikes.com interactive dashboard provides real-time data across 18 intelligence tabs including live strike map, burn rates, cost ratios, nuclear status, and more. Static analysis pages are updated daily.
Related Analysis
مشاهده دادههای زنده
مشاهده دادههای زنده →